Outstanding Drama Series

• 1. Succession (HBO)
• 2. The Crown (Netflix)
• 3. Better Call Saul (AMC)
• 4. The Last of Us (HBO)
• 5. The White Lotus (HBO)
• 6. Yellowjackets (Showtime)
• 7. Bad Sisters (Apple TV)

Odd Shows Out

• Andor (Disney +)
• The Handmaid’s Tale (Hulu)

Potential Surprise Nominees

• Perry Mason (HBO)

2022 Emmy Winner

• Succession (HBO)

Eligible This Year? (Yes)

Winning every year of its eligibility bodes pretty well for Succession to do it again in its final season. Any chance of it not being nominated is entirely non-existent.

The same should go for The White Lotus. The series dominated the Limited Series category last year, and moving into eligibility for a mainstream drama series will basically be a rubber stamp.

From there, it’s really a toss up as to what’s going to be nominated. The safest bets are Better Call Saul for the second half of its last season and The Crown (a previous winner in the category).

The next safest bet is obviously Yellowjackets which despite never really catching on with viewers still has critics clinging to it.

I said previously in a post that it’s kind of uncertain as to what the Emmys will do with The Last of Us. They may ignore it or they may shower it with nominations. The latter is more likely and as such I think there’s a pretty solid chance it’ll be nominated for Outstanding Drama Series

The wildcard pick for me is Apple TV’s very well reviewed Bad Sisters. It appeared as the top show on a handful of critics’ lists in 2022, and I wouldn’t be surprised, at all to see it nominated.

I think Andor will be outside looking-in, and The Handmaid’s Tale may finally be seeing its glory days fading.

As for a surprise nominee, I do think that Emmy voters love Perry Mason, and despite its cancellation it could be poised for a nomination here.

Outstanding Comedy Series

Presumptive Nominees

• 1. Ted Lasso (Apple TV)
• 2. Abbott Elementary (ABC)
• 3. The Bear (FX)
• 4. The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel (Amazon)
• 5. Barry (HBO)
• 6. Only Murders in the Building (Hulu)
• 7. Shrinking (Apple TV)
• 8. Reservation Dogs (Hulu)

Odd Show Out

• Atlanta (FX)

Potential Surprise Nominees

• Jury Duty (Amazon Freevee)

2022 Emmy Winner

• Ted Lasso (Apple TV)

Eligible This Year? (Yes)

Obviously Ted Lasso and Abbott Elementary will get nominations. They were both nominees in this category last year, and Ted Lasso will be going for its third consecutive win. After that, it’s a little less certain. Last year’s nominee Only Murder in the Building will likely get a second season nomination. As will perennial nominees Barry and The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel.

As for new nominees, The Bear has the best chance of snagging a nomination. Critics are high (for good reason) on Apple TV’s Shrinking, and with strong performances I think it will be nominated. I also like FX’s Reservation Dogs to sneak in.

The perennial nominee that I think will miss is FX’s Atlanta. It’s mainly out of sight and out of mind having finished its run more than eight months ago.

I still have a hunch that Jury Duty could appear in multiple nominations. A very shocking place would be in this category, but I think it’s in play.

Outstanding Limited Series

Presumptive Nominees

• 1. A Small Light (NatGeo)
• 2. Black Bird (Apple TV)
• 3. Beef (Netflix)
• 4. Flieshman is in Trouble (FX)
• 5. The Patient (Hulu)
• 6. This is Going to Hurt (AMC / BBC)

Odd Show Out

• Dahmer

Potential Surprise Nominee

• Swarm (Amazon)

2022 Emmy Winner

• The White Lotus

Eligible This Year? (No…not in this category)

Limited / Miniseries were all the rage a few years back with legendary entries like True Detective, Chernobyl, Watchmen, and Mare of Easttown. This year is a noticeably down time for limited series, and such, I think this will be an underwhelming category.

NatGeo’s incredible period piece documenting the backstory of Anne Frank’s hiding should appear here and possibly win.

Equally as critic-favorite was Apple TV’s Black Bird which will probably get a nomination and go in as the favorite to win it. Flieshman is in Trouble performed will on Hulu and should be rewarded with a nomination. The same goes for the mediocre The Patient. I like the British drama This is Going to Hurt to round out the category.

For whatever reason speculation that Dahmer will perform well in these categories. I hope it doesn’t.

Amazon’s Swarm would be a nice appearance in this category with no chance to win, but at least giving attention to the very worthy of a watch series.